Tuesday, December 13, 2011

You mean they CAN'T predict hurricanes? What a shocker.


So I was listening to Rush Limbaugh today and he mentioned something which I'm sure you'll find very interesting. Turns out the people forecasting hurricanes have said their work is in vain.

RUSH: Let's go back to June 2nd, 2003, June 2nd, 2003. This is me on this program.

RUSH ARCHIVE: These hurricane forecast guys -- who do not know what they're talking about. I mean, there is literally -- my friends, there's no way you can know how many hurricanes are gonna have, there's no way you can know other than seasonal averages how many big ones, and there's no way you can know where they're gonna hit and all that. But yet they've come out with their forecast: And this is going to be the worst hurricane season in many decades.

RUSH: Every year. Every year. First it's University of Colorado William Gray, and then NASA comes out with their forecast, and then Accuweather comes out with theirs. I mean, they all do -- and you know what? These are taken seriously. I remember one year, and this is not that long ago, one year -- it was not a hurricane forecast, it was an El Nino forecast -- some bunch put out a forecast that the Florida winter was going to be 20 degrees below normal. People from Europe and northern climates began canceling their seasonal hotel revelations because of this forecast, and the forecast was made in September, October that El Nino was gonna cause a bitterly cold south Florida winter. And it was all bogus. Well, "Two top US hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn't work. William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no value. The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities as hurricane seasons approach -- a much more cautious approach. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do next."

Forecasts had no value.

Now, I first saw this reported in the Ottawa Citizen in Canada. These two scientists, William Gray and Phil Klotzbach, released this statement six days ago, and we just hear about it today. They release their statement on December 7th. So far, not one United States mainstream news outlet has bother to do pick up the story. Apparently the public doesn't have the need or the right to know about such things. Folks, do you know how many people went out and bought insurance policies based on these forecasts? Do you know how much money was spent to protect from upcoming hurricanes or to prepare for or to insure against or whatever? And, by the way, I like Bill Gray. I don't want to be misunderstood here. I think this takes guts to do this. I would expect next somebody in the global warming community is going to say the same thing, that their research over the last 20 years has shown that it has no value, that it is worthless, that we don't know what we're talking about. Bill Gray, to his credit, has constantly said, "Global warming has nothing to do with hurricanes. It has nothing to do with their formation, it has nothing to do with their intense, it has nothing to do with their volume, it has nothing to do with anything." But now 20 years, 20 years, they went back and looked 20 years of forecasting has been found to have zilch value. Rush's site:

The most interesting thing about this is the lack of coverage in the media.  Isn't that funny?  Yes, I figured you'd find it hysterical.  I guess they just overlooked this fact.

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